Conspiracy Theories Emerge After Trump Threatens Military Action Against Nigeria

Conspiracy theories are spreading rapidly across Nigeria following U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent threat to attack the country over alleged “Christian genocide.” Trump, however, provided no evidence for the claim while redesignating Nigeria as a “Country of Particular Concern.” Nigerian authorities have repeatedly denied any genocide against Christians.

The remarks have polarized social media, triggering a wave of speculation about the true motives behind the U.S. president’s statement.

Palestine Connection
Many Nigerians believe Trump’s threat is retaliation for Nigeria’s continued support of Palestine and its call for a two-state solution to the Israel–Palestine conflict. Nigeria has recognized Palestine since 1988 and reaffirmed that stance at the 2025 UN General Assembly, where Vice President Kashim Shettima declared that “a two-state solution remains the most dignified path to lasting peace.”

Shortly after that speech, allegations of Christian persecution in Nigeria resurfaced online, leading to further suspicion about the timing of Trump’s remarks.

Dangote Refinery Angle
Another circulating theory links Trump’s hostility to Nigeria’s reduced dependence on foreign fuel imports following the commencement of operations at the 650,000-barrel-per-day Dangote Refinery. The refinery, which began exporting fuel to the U.S. in September 2024, has reshaped West Africa’s energy market and strengthened Nigeria’s economy.

A viral WhatsApp message claimed that U.S. anger stemmed from “losing West Africa as a fuel market.” However, trade data from the World Bank show Nigeria imported most of its fuel from Europe, not the U.S., over the past decade, contradicting this theory.

Mineral Resource Motive
Another perspective suggests Trump’s “liberation” rhetoric may conceal economic motives tied to Nigeria’s rich deposits of gold and lithium, particularly in the insurgency-prone north. Critics argue that any U.S. intervention could ultimately hand mining control to American interests.

South Africa-based Nigerian lawyer Ayo Sogunro warned on X that any invasion could destabilize the region further, creating new warlords who might later negotiate mining rights with the U.S. government.

Skepticism Over U.S. Intentions
Many Nigerians have dismissed Trump’s threats as another example of U.S. foreign interference, citing failed interventions in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, and Syria. Activist Yele Sowore noted that “America’s wars rarely bring peace, they bring chaos and control.”

Meanwhile, Nigeria’s Minister of Solid Minerals, Dele Alake, recently revealed receiving death threats amid efforts to curb illegal mining, an issue the government is determined to reform.

As tensions rise, analysts warn that disinformation and conspiracy theories could heighten public fear, even as diplomatic efforts continue to prevent further escalation.