A tool merchant based in Onitsha, Anambra State, Emeka Umeagbalasi, has unexpectedly emerged as a significant influence on United States policy discussions concerning Nigeria’s security challenges.
Umeagbalasi, who trades in items such as screwdrivers and wrenches, has for years produced self-published reports alleging a systematic genocide against Christians in Nigeria. Despite his non-academic background, these reports have gained traction among influential political figures in the United States.
Findings by Okay News indicate that Umeagbalasi’s data was cited by prominent Republican lawmakers, including Senator Ted Cruz, and reportedly contributed to former US President Donald Trump’s decision to approve airstrikes in Nigeria on Christmas Day.
While Umeagbalasi has described the attention from senior US officials as validation of his advocacy, his work has drawn criticism from journalists, analysts and international observers, who have raised concerns about the credibility of the information informing such high-level decisions.
Investigations into his methodology show that much of his data is compiled from secondary sources, including online searches and media reports, rather than independent field research. Umeagbalasi has also acknowledged categorising victims as Christians largely based on their location.
Security experts argue that this approach is deeply flawed, noting that violence in many affected areas cuts across religious lines and often claims the lives of both Muslims and Christians, making simplistic classifications misleading.
The controversy has reignited debate over the quality of intelligence relied upon in shaping foreign policy and military actions, particularly in complex conflict environments such as Nigeria.
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